Are Californians moving to Texas and turning it blue? The numbers say not really.
The Lone Star State has been a popular destination for people leaving California in recent years, but the impact on the state's politics has been modest.
In 2020, about 87,000 people moved from California to Texas, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. That's a significant number, but it's important to note that it's only a small fraction of the total population of Texas, which is about 29 million people.
And while some of these newcomers may have brought their liberal politics with them, it's not clear that they're having a major impact on the state's overall political landscape.
In fact, a recent study by the University of California, Berkeley found that the influx of Californians to Texas has had "no discernible effect" on the state's voting patterns.
The study looked at data from the 2016 and 2018 elections and found that there was no statistically significant difference in the way that Texans voted in those elections compared to previous elections.
This suggests that the arrival of Californians is not causing Texas to become more Democratic.
There are a few possible explanations for this.
One possibility is that the Californians who are moving to Texas are not politically active.
Another possibility is that they are being offset by other voters who are moving to Texas from more conservative states.
Whatever the reason, it's clear that the influx of Californians to Texas is not having a major impact on the state's politics.
This is good news for those who are concerned about the Lone Star State turning blue.
It also suggests that the political divide between California and Texas is likely to remain for the foreseeable future.